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HealthcareTEM

Tempus AI

Built AI-queryable dataset from 50%+ of US oncologists; structural data moat. Q1 2026 revenue $348.1M (+36.1% YoY); Diagnostics $261.1M (+34.7%), Data & Applications $87M (+40.5% YoY). MRD test volume ~6,500 in Q1 (+500% YoY). 2026 guidance raised to $1.59-1.60B with first path to adjusted EBITDA breakeven (~$65M). BMS expanded multi-asset collaboration (May 14) adds neuroscience / Alzheimer's vertical to oncology anchor. Next platform expanded May 28 (ahead of ASCO 2026); Tempus Hub refresh May 27. Named TIME's 10 Most Influential Health and Life Science Companies of 2026.

AI Impact Score
8.0/10
↑↑ Very Positive
Scoring Breakdown
Sector Base
7
AI Revenue Exposure
9
Moat Durability
8
Disruption Risk (lower=better)
3
AI Adoption Maturity
9

Scenarios

Bull Case

'David' AI co-pilot inside EHR systems is wedge into $4T hospital spend. Data network effects compound — every new patient improves model. MRD +500% YoY and BMS neuroscience expansion address TAM-extension concerns.

Bear Case

Healthcare AI has longest regulatory cycles. Competition from Guardant/Google Health remains. EBITDA path is near-breakeven, not profitable — cash discipline still required.

Key Factors to Watch

  • Q1 2026 revenue $348.1M (+36%); MRD tests +500% YoY; FY2026 guidance $1.59-1.60B with EBITDA ~$65M
  • BMS expanded multi-asset collaboration (May 2026) — solid tumor oncology + neuroscience / Alzheimer's
  • 50%+ of US oncologists connected — structural data moat; Next platform expanded at ASCO 2026
  • Named TIME's top 10 most influential health companies 2026; Hub refresh May 27

Score History

DateScoreDirectionNote
2026-05-308.0Very PositiveScore 7.6→8.0 (are 8→9, aam 8→9). Direction crosses positive→very_positive on Q1 2026 print + BMS expansion: revenue +36% YoY to $348.1M; MRD volume +500% YoY; FY26 guidance raised to $1.59-1.60B with first path to adjusted EBITDA breakeven (~$65M). BMS collaboration extends from oncology into neuroscience / Alzheimer's — addresses prior TAM-limit concern. Two major platform launches (Hub refresh + Next expansion) demonstrate continuous deployment cadence (aam↑). Materiality gate cleared by named earnings + named expanded collaboration.
2026-03-087.6PositiveScore 7.8→7.6 (are 9→8, dr 2→3, aam 7→8). External research cross-ref: not all $1.27B is pure AI revenue; competition from Guardant/Google Health; deep Merck AI collab
2026-03-087.8PositiveInitial assessment from batch 8 research

Healthcare Peers

Last researched: 2026-05-31

This is research and analysis, not financial advice. Scores reflect AI impact potential, not investment recommendations.